← Back to Home

Market news News

90 articles

CSE Indices End Flat Amid Mixed Interest 📈

The Colombo stock market remained steady for the second straight session, with indices closing marginally lower despite healthy turnover levels. • Overall Market Performance The All Share Price Index (ASPI) edged down by 0.71 points to 23,607.80. The S&P SL20 index also dipped by 0.12% (7.69 points) to close at 6,494.76. Total market turnover reached over Rs. 4.9 Bn, with approximately 133.3 million shares changing hands. • Investor Activity Foreign investors recorded a net inflow of Rs. 22 Mn. High net worth and institutional activity was concentrated in banking and diversified financials, specifically Citizens Development Business Finance, Melstacorp, and Hatton National Bank. Retail interest remained strong in speculative counters and the real estate sector. • Sector Breakdowns • Capital Goods: Emerged as the top turnover contributor (19%), led by Sierra Cables which saw its price rise by Rs. 1.30 to Rs. 36.30, despite the sector index falling 1.43%. • Banking: The second highest contributor, accounting for a significant portion of the 29% share held together with diversified financials. The sector index rose 0.34%, supported by Commercial Bank which edged up to Rs. 219.75. • Real Estate: Attracted notably higher interest alongside foreign currency-earning counters. • Top Laggards Price losses in blue-chip diversified holdings like John Keells Holdings (JKH), alongside Colombo Dockyard and DFCC Bank, weighed on the ASPI.

Read more →

📈 Alphabet Joins US$ 4 Trillion Club Amid AI Surge

Alphabet hit a historic US$ 4 trillion market valuation on Monday, reclaiming its position as the world’s second most valuable company. The milestone reflects a massive shift in investor sentiment, with the stock surging 65% in 2025—outperforming its "Magnificent Seven" peers. • Overall Performance & Valuation Alphabet's market cap briefly touched the US$ 4 Tn mark as Class-A shares hit a record high of US$ 334.04. It is now the fourth company to reach this milestone, following Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple. • Strategic Sector Highlights Artificial Intelligence (AI): Sentiment was bolstered by a landmark multi-year deal where Apple will base its next-generation AI models and Siri on Google's Gemini. Cloud Computing: Revenue for the cloud unit jumped 34% in Q3, supported by a backlog of unrecognized sales contracts totaling US$ 155 Bn. ICT & Hardware: Growth is further accelerated by renting proprietary AI chips to external firms, with Meta reportedly in talks for a multi-billion dollar deal starting in 2027. • Market Outlook The company successfully allayed concerns over its AI strategy through the launch of Gemini 3. Regional momentum remains strong, with Samsung planning to double its Gemini-powered mobile devices this year. Core advertising revenue remains steady despite global economic uncertainty. • Regulatory Context A September court ruling against breaking up the company—allowing it to retain control of Chrome and Android—has further stabilized the stock’s growth trajectory.

Read more →

Secondary Bond Market Yields Lower Amid High Auction Liquidity 📈

The Sri Lankan secondary bond market yields closed lower week-on-week, driven by robust buying interest in mid-to-long term maturities. While the short end saw intermittent profit-taking, the "belly of the curve" (2029–2030) remained stable or dropped, supported by healthy transaction volumes and block trades. • Overall Market Dynamics: Yields on 2029–2032 tenors generally eased. The 15.06.29 maturity dropped to 9.50% from week highs, while the 01.10.32 maturity traded down to 10.30%. The short end (2026) showed late-week recovery with the 15.12.26 maturity trading at 8.50%. • Treasury Auctions: - T-Bills: Last Wednesday’s auction was fully subscribed for the first time in 4 weeks, raising Rs. 100 Bn. Weighted averages rose for the 3rd consecutive week: 91-day (7.88%), 182-day (8.44%), and 364-day (8.47%). - Upcoming T-Bonds: A major auction is scheduled for today (12 Jan) offering Rs. 205 Bn across four maturities (2030, 2033, 2035, and 2039). • Liquidity & Forex: - Money Market: Net liquidity surplus rose to Rs. 171.03 Bn (up from Rs. 134.48 Bn). CBSL holdings of government securities remained flat at Rs. 2,508.92 Bn. - External Sector: Marginal net foreign inflow of Rs. 57 Mn into government securities. The Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) appreciated slightly against the USD, closing at Rs. 309.00/30. • Sector Impact: The stable yields in the longer end reflect sustained investor confidence in government securities, providing a benchmark for corporate lending and supporting the broader financial services sector and infrastructure financing.

Read more →

📈 MBSL Midcap Index Revised for 2026

The Merchant Bank of Sri Lanka (MBSL) has announced the annual recalibration of the MBSL Midcap Index, effective from 1 January 2026. The index tracks 25 medium-sized companies on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) based on market capitalization, liquidity, and profitability. • Market Capitalization Range: For 2026, the eligibility range has been adjusted to Rs. 8.45 Bn – Rs. 84.5 Bn (up from Rs. 4.9 Bn – Rs. 49.07 Bn in 2025), reflecting movements in the ASPI. • Sector Breakdown: The index now represents 9 GICS industry groups: • Banking: HNB (X), Seylan, Seylan (X), DFCC, and NDB. • Capital Goods: ACL Cables, Access Engineering, Sierra Cables, Royal Ceramics, and Aitken Spence. • Diversified Financials: Commercial Credit, Central Finance, Vallibel Finance, First Capital, and People’s Leasing. • Other Key Sectors: Includes Energy (LIOC), Materials (Chevron, Dipped Products, JAT), Food & Beverage (Sunshine Holdings, Lanka Milk Foods), and Real Estate. • Key Inclusions: New entrants for 2026 include Sierra Cables, Aitken Spence, Vallibel Finance, Lanka IOC, Janashakthi Insurance, JAT Holdings, and Prime Lands Residencies. • Notable Exclusions: Companies such as John Keells Holdings, TeeJay Lanka, and Watawala Plantations have been removed from the 2026 index. The revision aims to provide portfolio managers with signals for switching to stocks with high growth potential and moderate volatility.

Read more →

📈 Global Equity Rally & Oil Dip: Impact on SL Sentiment

Global markets extended gains this Tuesday, driven by AI-linked tech optimism and favorable US manufacturing data. Asian indices, including Hong Kong and Tokyo, surged as investors anticipated potential Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, oil prices dipped as supply concerns in Venezuela eased, providing a potential relief for Sri Lanka’s energy import costs. • Stock Market Performance: The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) remains upbeat, with the ASPI rising 3.9% over the last week. The index closed at 23,292.91 (Jan 6), reflecting a robust 46.9% YoY growth. Financials and Renewable Energy sectors are leading the current rally. • Sector Growth & Exports: • Apparel & Textiles: Cumulative exports (Jan-Nov 2025) reached US$ 4.57 Bn, a 5.42% YoY increase. While November saw a slight 1.96% dip, the EU market grew by 13.07%, highlighting strong ethical manufacturing demand. • Tea: Production showed a modest recovery, with cumulative output up 2.82 Mnkg to 220.97 Mnkg. Low-grown tea rose 5.96%, though high-grown segments faced a 6.22% decline. • Economic Outlook: Based on provisional data, Sri Lanka’s 2026 budget deficit is projected to rise to 6.5% of GDP due to Rs. 500 Bn in Cyclone Ditwah recovery spending. Despite this, 2026 GDP growth is forecasted at 3.5%–5.0% as stability returns. • Currency & Inflation: The Sri Lankan Rupee recently depreciated below 310 per US$, while December inflation remained steady at 2.1%.

Read more →

📈 Review of Sri Lanka’s Bond Market 2025

The Government Securities market in 2025 was defined by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and fiscal overperformance, despite intermittent volatility from global shocks and natural disasters. Yields generally trended lower, supported by a shift in the yield curve and robust investor appetite. • Fiscal Performance & Debt: • Revenue grew by Rs. 1.3 Tn (+35% YoY) due to tax reforms. • Primary surplus doubled to Rs. 1.94 Tn (+109% YoY). • Budget deficit narrowed sharply to Rs. 326 Bn from Rs. 1.22 Tn. • S&P upgraded foreign currency rating to CCC+ in September. • Monetary & Inflation Indicators: • CCPI inflation remained in deflation from January–July, ending the year well below the 5% target. • A single 25 bps policy rate cut in May brought the Overnight Policy Rate to 7.75%. • Market liquidity remained in surplus, exceeding Rs. 100 Bn for 80% of the year. • External Sector & Foreign Investment: • Foreign holdings in Rupee Treasuries surged 259% to Rs. 141.37 Bn. • Current account surplus reached US$ 1.68 Bn (Jan-Nov), aided by a 21% rise in remittances. • Gross International Reserves stood at US$ 6.00 Bn as of November. • Key Risks & Outlook: • Market sentiment was shaken by US 'Reciprocal Tariffs' (finalized at 20%) and the Iran-Israel conflict. • Year-end yields rose due to Cyclone Ditwah, resulting in a Rs. 500 Bn supplementary estimate for 2026 reconstruction, creating uncertainty for future rate trajectories.

Read more →

📈 SL Equities Now a 'Top Pick' for Foreign Frontier Fund: Stability & Undervaluation Key

AFC Asia Frontier Fund (AFC AFF) Co-Fund Manager Ruchir Desai has given an upbeat assessment, stating Sri Lanka is one of the Fund's top country picks, entering its most promising phase in a decade. • Core Drivers: The recovery is built on political and macroeconomic stability, which are critical prerequisites for sustained investor interest. • Fund Allocation: AFC AFF increased exposure soon after November 2022 (the 'crisis bottom') and Sri Lanka is now the Fund's second-largest country allocation. • Valuations: Equities remain significantly undervalued vs. fundamentals and regional peers. The broader market trades at ~11x earnings (P/E), below the 14-16x P/E seen pre-2018. • Sector Strength: Company fundamentals have returned to pre-crisis strength, showing robust earnings growth across banking, consumer, and industrial sectors. Private banks are benefitting directly from improved credit growth. • Valuation Gap: E.g., a leading SL bank trades at ~1x book value, while a comparable regional bank trades at nearly 2.5x, despite SL banks showing stronger earnings momentum. • Structural Strengths: Highlighting strong corporate governance, transparency, and a resilient pool of well-run companies. Untapped sectors include logistics and tourism. • Foreign Flows: Although currently low, foreign interest is expected to return by 2026 or 2027 if stability persists. Desai stressed that the platform is set for stable growth, but the country must "not to drop the ball" by maintaining reforms. 🤞

Read more →

📈 SL Bond Market Bullish on Favorable 2026 Budget Outlook

The secondary Government securities market saw a second consecutive week of bullish momentum, driven by strong demand and positive sentiment following the 2026 Budget reading. • Bond Market Trends: Robust activity and transaction volumes pushed yields sharply lower, causing a downward shift in the yield curve, particularly across 2026–2030 maturities. • Example: The 01.07.28 maturity yield declined from an intra-week high of 9.17% to a low of 9.00%. • Daily secondary market transacted volumes averaged Rs. 13.99 Bn for the first three days. • Foreign holdings of rupee-denominated securities remained static at Rs. 141.32 Bn. • Budget 2026 Projections (Key Drivers): The bullish sentiment was supported by Budget statements outlining continued macro-fiscal discipline and key targets for 2026: • Economic growth projected at 4%-5%. • Primary Budget Balance of 2.5% of GDP. • Budget Deficit maintained at 5.1% of GDP. • Government revenue expected to exceed 15.4% of GDP. • Additional positive development: Expectation of national carrier debt restructuring by December. • Money & Forex Markets: • Inter-bank liquidity surplus reduced to Rs. 118.29 Bn (from Rs. 155.05 Bn the previous week). • USD/LKR spot rate depreciated, closing the week at Rs. 304.80/304.90 (vs. Rs. 304.35/304.45 prior week). • Daily average USD/LKR traded volume stood at US$ 119.7 Mn (first four trading days).

Read more →